We grade our own predictions. In public.
Listing sites sell you leads. We publish predictions - a win-bid range and a walk-away number per lot - and then show you how they scored against the actual auction results. Every matched auction counts, misses included.
15
receipts so far
45
predictions frozen and awaiting their auction
2026-07-06
History since 2026-07-06 · Snapshot 2026-09-02
20%
actual price inside our predicted range
$98,101
median miss distance (outside-range receipts)
86.7%
auctions our walk-away number would have won
This track record is young - the receipt system started on 2026-07-06. Receipts accumulate automatically as the 45 frozen predictions reach their auction dates. We would rather show you a small honest sample than a big reconstructed one.
How this is measured
- A prediction only counts if it was frozen BEFORE auction day (dossier generation date < auction date). Nothing is reconstructed after the result is known.
- Every frozen prediction whose auction produced a captured price becomes a receipt - hit or miss. Nothing is dropped.
- History accumulates nightly as tracked auctions complete.
Full accounting: 416 predictions stored, 177 provably frozen pre-auction, 15 matched to a result, 45 awaiting auction, 117 past without a captured price, 239 excluded (not provably pre-auction).
By county
| County | Receipts | In range | Median error |
|---|---|---|---|
| Charlotte | 1 | 0% | $13,569 |
| Clay | 1 | 100% | $0 |
| Hillsborough | 6 | 16.7% | $87,712 |
| Palm Beach | 1 | 0% | $18,535 |
| Pinellas | 1 | 0% | $163,163 |
| Polk | 1 | 0% | $166,570 |
| Volusia | 2 | 0% | $147,468 |
| Walton | 2 | 50% | $85,965 |
Every receipt
| Auction | County | Predicted range | Actual | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-07-24 | Hillsborough | $180,000 - $205,000 | $4,554 | MISS |
| 2026-07-23 | Pinellas | $180,000 - $200,000 | $16,837 | MISS |
| 2026-07-23 | Polk | $180,000 - $205,000 | $13,430 | MISS |
| 2026-07-23 | Hillsborough | $205,000 - $210,000 | $208,078 | IN RANGE |
| 2026-07-22 | Volusia | $175,000 - $205,000 | $60,000 | MISS |
| 2026-07-21 | Hillsborough | $190,000 - $210,000 | $174,870 | MISS |
| 2026-07-20 | Volusia | $190,000 - $210,000 | $10,065 | MISS |
| 2026-07-20 | Charlotte | $70,000 - $100,000 | $56,431 | MISS |
| 2026-07-16 | Clay | $40,000 - $52,000 | $48,338 | IN RANGE |
| 2026-07-16 | Walton | $180,000 - $210,000 | $8,071 | MISS |
| 2026-07-14 | Hillsborough | $180,000 - $205,000 | $102,677 | MISS |
| 2026-07-14 | Walton | $145,000 - $177,000 | $157,474 | IN RANGE |
| 08/26/2026 | Hillsborough | $180,000 - $205,000 | $81,899 | MISS |
| 08/13/2026 | Hillsborough | $190,000 - $209,000 | $365,738 | MISS |
| 08/10/2026 | Palm Beach | $200,000 - $210,000 | $181,465 | MISS |